Archive for April, 2013

Hey what’s up y’all this Blacker from Black and Blacker and this is my final mock of the year. I tried to incorporate some of the rumors that I have heard from around the league into the draft. This is more of a representation of how I feel the draft will go. I tried to incorporate some trades but there were 19 trades in the first round last year and I know I wont be an accurate representation of them all.  I apologize for not having the college of each player next to them but there was a flaw in converting the excel file to PDF to typed characters. I did four rounds because after 5 I know most people really don’t pay too much attention

Hope you guys enjoy

ROUND ONE

With the first pick in the 2013 NFL Draft the Kansas City Chiefs select….

1 Kansas City Chiefs Luke Joeckel OT

2  Jacksonville Jaguars Eric Fisher OT
3  Oakland Raiders Shariff Floyd DT
4  Philadelphia Eagles Lane Johnson OT
5  Detroit Lions Ezekiel Ansah DE
6  San Diego Chargers Chance Warmack OG (VIA TRADE WITH BROWNS)
7  Arizona Cardinals Dion Jordan DE
8  Buffalo Bills Ryan Nassib QB
9  New York Jets Barkevious Mingo OLB
10  Tennessee Titans Jonathan Cooper OG
11  Cleveland Browns DeMarcus Millner CB ( Through San Diego)
12  Miami Dolphins Desmond Trufant CB
13  New York Jets Geno Smith QB
14  Carolina Panthers Kenny Vaccaro S
15  New Orleans Saints Star Lotulelei DT
16  St. Louis Rams Alec Ogletree ILB
17  Pittsburgh Steelers Jarvis Jones OLB
18  Dallas Cowboys Sylvester Richardson DT
19  New York Giants Tyler Eifert TE
20 Chicago Bears Kevin Minter ILB
21  Atlanta Falcons Bjoern Werner DE ( via trade with Cinci)
22  St. Louis Rams DeAndre Hopkins WR
23  Minnesota Vikings Sheldon Richardson DT
24  Indianapolis Colts Jonathan Jenkins DT
25  Minnesota Vikings Manti Te’o ILB
26  Green Bay Packers Tavon Austin WR
27  Houston Texans Cordarrelle Patterson WR
28  Denver Broncos Cornellius Carradine DE
29  New England Patriots D.J. Hayden CB
30  Cincinnati Bengals Jonathan Cyprien S (through ATL)
31  San Francisco 49ers Eric Reid S
32  Baltimore Ravens Keenan Allen WR

ROUND TWO
33  Jacksonville Jaguars Matt Barkley QB
34  San Francisco 49ers Xavier Rhodes CB
35  Philadelphia Eagles E.J. Manuel QB
36  Detroit Lions Johnthan Banks CB
37  Cincinnati Bengals Eddie Lacy RB
38  Arizona Cardinals Justin Pugh OT
39  New York Jets D.J. Fluker OT
40  Tennessee Titans Justin Hunter WR
41  Buffalo Bills Menelik Watson OT
42 Miami Dolphins Kyle Long OT
43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Datone Jones DE

44 2 Carolina Panthers Kawann Short DT
45  Cleveland Browns Markus Wheaton WR
46  St. Louis Rams Matt Elam S
47  Dallas Cowboys Shamarko Thomas S
48  Pittsburgh Steelers Terrance Williams WR
49  New York Giants Damontre Moore DE
50  Chicago Bears Zach Ertz TE
51  Washington Redksins Robert Woods WR
52 Minnesota Vikings Jordan Poyer CB
53  Cincinnati Bengals Arthur Brown ILB
54  Miami Dolphins Alex Okafor DE
55  Green Bay Packers Jamie Collins OLB
56  Seattle Seahawks Larry Warford OG
57  Houston Texans Terron Armstead OT
58  Denver Broncos Johnathan Hankins DT
59  New England Patriots Sam Montgomery DE
60  Cincinnati Bengals Jamar Taylor CB  ( From ATL)
61  San Francisco 49ers Barrett Jones OG
62  Baltimore Ravens Phillip Thomas S

ROUND THREE

63  Kansas City Chiefs Kiko Alonso ILB
64  Jacksonville Jaguars David Amerson CB
65  Detroit Lions Dallas Thomas OT
66  Oakland Raiders Corey Lemonier DE
67  Philadelphia Eagles Darius Slay CB
68  Cleveland Browns Travis Frederick C
69  Arizona Cardinals Bacarri Rambo S
70  Tennessee Titans Blidi Wreh-Wilson CB
71  Buffalo Bills Khaseem Greene OLB
72  New York Jets Giovani Bernard RB
73  Tampa Bay Buccaneers Robert Alford CB
74  San Francisco 49ers Sio Moore OLB
75  New Orleans Saints David Quessenberry OT
76  San Diego Chargers Tyler Wilson QB
77  Miami Dolphins Johnathan Franklin RB
78  St. Louis Rams Jesse Williams DT
79  Pittsburgh Steelers Margus Hunt DE
80  Dallas Cowboys Brandon Jenkins DE
81  New York Giants Oday Aboushi OT
82  Miami Dolphins Aaron Dobson WR
83  Minnesota Vikings Mike Glennon QB
84  Cincinnati Bengals Brennan Williams OT
85  Washington Redksins D.J. Swearinger S
86  Indianapolis Colts Tyrann Mathieu CB
87  Seattle Seahawks Xavier Nixon OT
88  Green Bay Packers Joseph Randle RB
89  Houston Texans Chase Thomas OLB
90  Denver Broncos Duke Williams S

91  New England Patriots Quinton Patton WR
92  Atlanta Falcons Brandon Williams DT
93  San Francisco 49ers Montori Hughes DT
94  Baltimore Ravens Jon Bostic ILB
95  Houston Texans Alvin Bailey OG
96  Kansas City Chiefs Da’Rick Rogers WR
97  Tennessee Titans Michael Buchanan DE

ROUND FOUR 
98  Jacksonville Jaguars Brian Winters OT
99  Kansas City Chiefs Le’Veon Bell RB

100  Oakland Raiders T.J. McDonald S

101  Philadelphia Eagles Kwame Geathers DT
102  Minnesota Vikings Marquise Goodwin WR
103  Indianapolis Colts B.W. Webb CB
104  Cleveland Browns Kevin Reddick ILB
105  Buffalo Bills Stedman Bailey WR
106  New York Jets William Gholston DE
107  Tennessee Titans Bennie Logan DT
108  Carolina Panthers David Bakhtiari OT
109  New Orleans Saints Tyler Bray QB
110  San Diego Chargers Ryan Swope WR
111  Miami Dolphins Jelani Jenkins OLB
112  Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jordan Reed TE
113  St. Louis Rams Andre Ellington RB
114  Dallas Cowboys Brian Schwenke C
115  Pittsburgh Steelers Shawn Williams S
116  New York Giants Zaviar Gooden OLB
117  Chicago Bears Zac Dysert QB
118  Cincinnati Bengals Kenny Stills WR
119  Washington Redksins Logan Ryan CB
120 Minnesota Vikings Tony Jefferson S
121  Indianapolis Colts Montee Ball RB
122  Green Bay Packers Khaled Holmes C
123  Seattle Seahawks Travis Kelce TE
124  Houston Texans Everett Dawkins DT
125  Denver Broncos Marcus Lattimore RB
126 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Denard Robinson WR
127  Atlanta Falcons Nico Johnson ILB
128  San Francisco 49ers Ryan Otten TE
129  Baltimore Ravens Leon McFadden CB
130  Baltimore Ravens Chris Faulk OT
131  San Francisco 49ers Jordan Mills OT
132  Detroit Lions Cobi Hamilton WR
133  Atlanta Falcons Tharold Simon CB

Advertisements

Players who will be undervalued come draft day

Black

Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri- Sheldon Richardson hasn’t gotten as much pre-draft hype as the other defensive lineman in his class. He is generally looked at as a top 25 pick but I could see Richardson going into the top 10 this year. Many people, including myself, thought that Richardson is better than Star Lotulelei and is on par with the best defensive tackle in this draft class in Sharrif Floyd.
Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia- Sticking with defensive tackles, Johnathan Jenkins was one of many players who saw his draft stock decline greatly after playing Alabama in the SEC championship game. Before the game he was considered as the top or second best defensive lineman in the draft. Because of his versiltlity to lineup as a 1-3 in a 3-4 or 4-3 scheme he should remain in the first round possibly in the top 25.
Cornelius Washington, ILB/DE, Georgia- Cornelius Washington is one of my favorite sleepers coming out of this year’s draft. His size and athleticism is something that has some scouts talking and after watching some games of his, he really stood at more than one would thought, especially on a defense that already consisted of other great defensive players like the two Jenkins and Ogletreee. He is projected to be a mid-round pick this year but I feel like whichever team can get him in the 3rd round will be getting a steal.

Blacker

DaMontre Moore DE/OLB Texas A&M – He had a poor combine showing and he also had a poor showing at his pro day ,the 4.95 40 is not impressive. However, I believe this is a case of scouts looking to far into his numbers and forgetting about the havoc Moore caused in the SEC last year.  When you watch the tape Moore makes plays, he has a high motor, is versatile as a 43 DE and a 34 OLB, as well as anchors well in the run game.  Moore should be a first round draft pick but his poor showing could cost him the first round pick.  Regardless, whatever team grabs him in the 2nd round will be gaining a steal and a talented threat coming off the edge.

Players who will be overvalued come draft day

Black
Barkevious Mingo and Sam Montgomery, DE/OLB, LSU- I have never been a big fan of Mingo and Montgomery. He is small and was constantly bullied by some of the SEC’s offensive lineman. Luke Joeckel bullied both of these guys in the LSU/Texas A&M match up this past season, and at times their presence was just not felt at all.
T.J. McDonald, S, USC- I know McDonald is being projected as a 3rd to 4th round pick but in my opinion he should not even be looked at until the later rounds on the third day or shouldn’t even be selected in the at all. McDonald is the next Taylor Mays, a USC player who gets overvalued and falls flat once he reaches the Pros. He was the mastermind behind most of the USC defensive woes and his game against Oregon was probably the worst safety performance I’ve ever seen from a college safety.

Blacker

The trend in the recent years for the NFL is to reach for a QB that think can turn around the team’s fortunes. I don’t think that we see any deviation from the trend here. I expect Geno Smith, EJ Manuel and/or Ryan Nassib, to be highly overvalued come draft day. Especially if a team like Jacksonville decides to take Geno at 2. That would set off a domino effect and teams like Buffalo, Arizona, New York and Philadelphia could become desperate and reach for Manuel or Nassib.  I am a firm believer that none of the aforementioned QB’s warrant a first round selection but the need for an elite signal caller could lead to those 3 QBs to be overvalued.

 

Player who sneaks into the 1st round

Black
EJ Manuel, QB, Florida State- Manuel is my favorite quarterback prospect coming out of this year’s draft, his had a good week at the senior bowl in the eyes of many scouts despite many reports by “Draft Experts” (I’m looking at you Mayock), and he has gained some draft stock momentum in recent weeks. I could see him going in the bottom of the first to a team that trades back up into the first round to nab one a QB.

Blacker

Dj Hayden CB Houston – The kid has an amazing story, almost died in practice due to a tear in his heart. Comes back from the near death experience and runs a 4.3 40.  Hayden also faced off against talented WR Quinton Patton and shut him down. Hayden posses prototypical CB size at 5’11 191. Personally I don’t see anything that makes Hayden any more special than other CB’s like Trufant, Millner or Rhodes but scouts and NFL GM’s like him and love the story and that should be enough to push him to the late first.

 

Player who slip in the draft

Black
Keenan Allen, WR, California- As much as I love Keenan Allen as a prospect, his stock has dramatically decreased since early January. His knee injury kept him out of the scouting combine in February and when he was finally able to run at his Pro Day, he only ran a 4.7. Scouts had already questioned his speed as there times where faster defensive backs easily caught Allen from behind.

Blacker

Bjorn Werner DE Florida  State, – Jarvis Jones will fall due to health concerns but also they should be picked right about where they belong.  Werner is a top 15 talent and the best pure 43 DE in the draft but with Tampa trading the pick for Revis and the possibility of the Titans taking OL help. Every other pick after that has other needs than a 43 DE. IF teams decide to draft by need and not BPA, Werner could take a spill to the 20’s.

Image

Not really a detailed draft compared to our previous mock drafts, but I’ve been more busy then usual this year so I haven’t had a much time to crack out these mocks and scouting reports. I’m going to have more time to get more reports out after finials.

-Black

Kansas City (2-14) – Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

Jacksonville (2-14) – Dion Jordon, DE/OLB, Oregon

Oakland (4-12) – Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

Philadelphia (4-12) – Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

Detroit (4-12) – Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU

Cleveland (5-11) – Dee Millner, CB, Alabama

Arizona (5-11) – Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

Buffalo (6-10) – Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

New York Jets (6-10) – Star Lotulelei, NT, Utah

Tennessee (6-10) – Chance Warmack, G, Alabama

San Diego (7-9) – Johnathan Cooper, G, North Carolina

Miami (7-9) – Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

Tampa Bay (7-9) – Xavier Rhodes*, CB, Florida State

Carolina (7-9) – Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

New Orleans (7-9) – Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU

St. Louis (7-8-1) – Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

Pittsburgh (8-8) – Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

Dallas (8-8) – Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

New York Giants (9-7) – Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

Chicago (10-6) – Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

Cincinnati (10-6) – Matt Elam, S, Florida

St. Louis – from Washington (10-6) – D.J. Fluker, OT/G, Alabama

Minnesota (10-6) – DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

Indianapolis (11-5) – Datone Jones, DE/DT, UCLA

Minnesota – from Seattle (11-5) – Sylvester Williams, DT, UNC

Green Bay (11-5) – Johnathan Hankins, DL, Ohio State

Houston (12-4) – Justin Hunter, WR, Tennesse

Denver (13-3) – Bjoern Werner*, DE, Florida State

New England (12-4) – Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

Atlanta (13-3) – Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

San Francisco (11-4-1) – Jonathan Cyprien, S, Florida International

Baltimore (10-6) – Alec Ogletree*, ILB, Georgia