Posts Tagged ‘QB’

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Derek Carr

Height – 6 ‘3

Weight – 218

Tape Watched: USC (2013), Nevada (2013), Utah State (2013) and Oregon (2012)

My QB Big Board Rank – 5

Positives – Derek Carr has the physical tools to succeed in the NFL. Carr has arguably the best zip o his ball in the entire 2014 draft class, this zip helps him fit balls into tight windows on all levels of the field.  Carr possesses the ability to make all the NFL throws whether it is short, intermediate or deep.  Carr impresses with his anticipation of his WR breaking off their routes and often has the ball out before the WR has begun to look for the ball, this is a testament to his knowledge of the game of football and his general feel for . Carr has more than functional mobility, he moves outside of the pocket very well and keeps his eyes down field and can throw on the run rolling out to the right with relative ease.

Negatives – Fresno State does not exactly play the best competition in the MWC and Carr beat up on the inferior competition. However, when he faced USC in the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl, Carr look flustered in all facets of his game as the speed of USC confused him.  Carr needs to work on his progression, very often Carr makes one read before releasing the ball, some of that is due to their playing style but even outside of the quick passes, Carr will stare down a WR as he waits for the route to develop. Coming with Fresno State Carr played out of the shotgun and does not have experience in a traditional pro style offense.  Along with working on his progression, Carr needs to work on his footwork, too often Carr is releasing the ball from his back foot or without opening up his hips or stepping into his throws. This prevents him to getting as much torque as possible on his throws.  Derek Carr also seems to struggle heavily against the blitz, all of his footwork issues become compounded during the blitz often leaving him vulnerable in the pocket and often rushing his throws.  Carr tends to miss on his deep ball (30 yards down field or more) often leaving balls over WR fingertips or 5 yards in front of them.

Summary – Derek Carr has a lot of the tools needed to be an NFL QB, a lot of his negatives can be fixed by simply working on his mechanics. Improved footwork will lead to Carr hitting the deep ball. Working on Carr with looking off defenders and not locking in on WR’s will improve Carr as well.  Carr has all the physical tools and also has very good intangibles has he is a very strong leader and smart player.  Carr would be better set to be drafted to a team with an established QB and allowed to develop for a few seasons.  When I look at Carr’s whole package I see him as early 3rd round talent and if I was a GM I would not touch him until then.  Carr did have a strong showing at the Senior Bowl raising his stock with scouts and due to the inflation of QB’s Carr will likely end up going in the 1st round and possibly top 10.

Draft Projection –  Top 15 pick ( QB Inflation)

NFL Comparison –  Jay Cutler

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The Golden boy of college football, Barkley came into the year ranked very highly and seemed to be a shoo-in for the #1 overall pick. USC seemed primed to make a NC game run, however, those dreams came crashing down as USC lost early to Stanford and then proceeded to lose 4 out of their last 5 games of the year.  Barkley’s USC career ends in a disappointing fashion to say the least. However, his draft stock still is up in the air.  Barkley possess a lot of the intangibles a team would look for in franchise signal caller but also lacks the tools that would make him a stud in the NFL.

Pre-Combine Measurables:

Height: 6 – 2

Weight: 230 lbs

40: 4.84

Scouting Video #1 – Matt Barkley vs Cuse

:45 – makes a bad presnap read and nearly throws an INT

1:33 – should have taken sack

1:46 – Climbs the pocket well, however needs to feel that pressure and find an escape route

2:00 – throw is off his back foot but still shows accuracy

2:17 – could have lead Woods better and gotten an extra 10 yards

2:40 – Nice strong throw to the sideline

2:50 – shows great poise under pressure and makes a smart decision

3:15 – recognizes one on one coverage pre snap and makes a impressive throw to Woods

4:20 – Not the smartest throw, had Lee coming off a curl at the bottom of the screen, he had sometime could have stepped up and gone through progressions

4:25 No pressure at all and makes an absolutely horrid throw, had the whole middle of the field to work with, should have lead Woods towards the deep center part of the field. 6 points if he does so.

5:22 – bad ball placement could have put the ball in front of WR, however catch should still have been made.

Scouting Video #2 – Matt Barkley vs Oregon Ducks

0:05 – Strong throw while on the run

0:19 – might be his best throw of the season 52 yards opposite sideline.

0:55 Had no sense of the pressure , released the ball due to pure luck

1:20 – Beautiful throw, great touch on that

1:45 – WTF

2:00 –Read preplay, good throw

2:40 – Throws  58 yards in the air, still not elite arm strength but it is NFL caliber, long developing play and had all the time in the world

3:15 – Nice job avoiding the rush

4:18- locks onto lee and nearly gets sacked, does not move through progression at all. Touchdown on the play but not what should be taken from the play

5:00 – It is better to take a sack or throw away than to force that

5:10 – steps up perfectly, eyes down field, delivers a strong accurate throw to Aguiliar. Touchdown

6:24 – Odd stance in the throw, you would like to see him step into that and to throw from a neutral position

7:23 – Good job avoiding pressure, very poor throw

8:00 – plain inaccurate

9:25 – Throw into triple coverage he was asking for trouble

10:00 – 5 step drop, should have seen Woods fall  and then adjusted accordingly. He made his decision to throw before the play. Lucky that  there was a PI was called ( there should have been no PI)

10:26 – what….

10:44 – ends up working out but that throw should not behind the WR

11:35 – Biggest mistake of the game. Look at the situation, it is 4th and 5 in the biggest game of your career so far. Indecisive if he wants to throw to Lee, which is okay but he does not go through his progressions, tunnel visions onto Lee and then forced a throw that was nearly picked off. You want to see him go through progressions or throw to Lee on immediately.  Did not execute the play.

Strengths

  • Mechanics are sound
  • Field General
  • Reads defenses incredibly well presnap
  • Avoids the pass rush well
  • Controls the pocket and steps up well
  • Can throw on the move
  • Generally Accurate in short and intermediate game
  • High Character

Weaknesses

  • Not the strongest arm, leaves a lot to be desired
  • Deep Ball accuracy
  • Decision Making is not up to par
  • Tunnel Vision- Locks onto WRs and waits for them to beat the CB
  • Does not go through progressions
  • Forces ball to WRs
  • Ball placement can be suspect
  • Has not played well in Big games

Conclusion – Matt Barkley might be the most popular QB in the nation. Barkley brings a good understanding of the game as well as all the intangibles and awareness needed to be a successful QB in this league. Where he lacks is in his decision making and his arm strength. Coming into the year those were what needed to be improved and he made marginal improvements.

I view Barkley has a 2nd round QB prospect and that is the talent level I think he is at. However, the NFL is a QB driven league and his value will be inflated due to that. I think you see Barkley go Top 25 picks in the draft. There is a chance teams pass on Barkley and he does fall to the 2nd round however. Barkley really hurt his stock by staying a year; he could have easily gone behind Griffin or Luck if he declared last year.

NFL Comparison – All of his tools match up with former Trojan Mark Sanchez.  Sanchez was taken 3rd overall.  Chad Pennington and Matt Cassell are other adequate comparisons