2014 Mock Draft

Round 1

tgc-nfl-draft
1. Houston Texans – Jadeveon Clowney DE South Carolina – I think Houston has a bigger needs than DE ( ala QB) but Manziel is too small, Bridgewater has had a less than stellar offseason and Bortles is the only other option other than trading down. Houston decides to take the once every 10 years talent in Clowney.


2. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) –  Greg Robinson OT Auburn, they are going to either A look to move this pick for someone moving up for a QB or Watkins or B. go take someone to protect Bradford or whomever

 

3. Jacksonville Jaguars  – Johnny Manziel QB Texas A&M – Do I think he is the best QB available? No, I’d give that to Bortles but do I think he presents the most upside and at the very least will be an attraction in a drowning city? Yes. You have to remember the NFL is also a business.
4. Cleveland Browns – Sammy Watkins WR Clemson – They want tickets to be sold, they want to have an explosive O, they already have Gordon. Watkins and Gordon are terrifying.
5. Atlanta Falcons (trade with Raiders)  – Khalil Mack OLB Buffalo – It’s a silly trade but ATL needs a pass rusher more than anything and will make moves to do so. Dimtroff has shown that.

 

6. Oakland Raiders  (trade with ATL) – Mike Evans WR Texas A&M – They need a weapon that’s not Denarius Moore

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Aaron Donald DT Pitt – Its our first sort of surprise pick but Lovie Smith loves the Tampa 2 and Donald is perfect for it

8. Minnesota Vikings – Blake Bortles QB UCF – Minnesota needs something….anything really and Blake Bortles is my #1 QB on my board. With Patterson and Peterson in the fold and Bortles ability to push the ball down field into tight spaces expect success

9. Buffalo Bills –  Jake Matthews Texas A&M – You almost forget about him the way the draft unfolded but Matthews is the real deal.

10. Detroit Lions – Justin Gilbert CB Oklahoma State – Any person who has Darqueze Dennard in the top 10 is a fool. Justin Gilbert will be the pick here and is a better CB than Dennard. If not it could be Odell Beckham at this slot

11. Tennessee Titans – Teddy Bridgewater QB Louisville – They cant pass him up if he falls there, they just can’t Locker is not the answer.

12. New York Giants- Dee Ford DE/OLB Auburn – Remember when the Giants had a great pass rush, they need to get back to that state. It’s a bit early but the kids an animal, look him or Kony Ealy here

13. St. Louis Rams – Odell Beckham JR WR LSU – Tavon Austin is a specialized tool not a complete weapon.. Beckham… now that’s a weapon.

14. Chicago Bears – Darqueeze Dennard CB MSU – Tillman is old as anything and Aaron Donald is off the board

15. Pittsburgh Steelers –  Louis Nix III NT Notre Dame –  I would say go Jernigan or Hageman but they aren’t true NT’s so the pick should be Nix.

16. Dallas Cowboys  – Haha Clinton Dix S Alabama – I think Pryor is better, hell I think Joyner is better but I am not the GM regardless Dallas needs a S,  if Haha “falls” then Dallas will gladly take him

17. Baltimore Ravens – Zack Martin OT/OG Notre Dame – They need to shore up the line, he assures this

18. New York Jets – Eric Ebron TE UNC – Ebron is very very good, Lee could be the pick here ( I think he sucks) but with Ebron on the board they go for the game changer

 

19. Miami Dolphins –   Taylor Lewan OT Michigan –  This kid could have been a #2 pick last year, Miami is getting value.

20. Arizona Cardinals – Anthony Barr OLB UCLA –  They could go QB but Palmer is a decent enough option to where they don’t have to reach for David Carr right now. They bolster the pass rush with Barr

21. Green Bay Packers –  CJ Mosley LB Alabama – Green Bay needs any LB honestly, Mosley slipping a bit makes them very happy.

22. Philadelphia Eagles – Brandin Cooks WR Oregon State – I think its between Cooks, Lattimer and the safety Pryor from Louisville. Chip Kelly has seen Cooks at Oregon st during his time at Oregon. Chip goes Pac – 12 connection

23. Kansas City Chiefs –  Marqise Lee WR USC – I think he is garbage, but I think he could be a fit in the west coast offense of Andy Reid
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Jason Verrett CB TCU – What Verrett lacks in size he makes up for in ball skills. He has a lot of those

25. San Diego Chargers – Kyle Fuller CB VTech– San Diego needs CB’s bad, Fuller or Roby should be the pick here

26. Cleveland Browns (from Indianapolis Colts) –  David Carr QB Fresno State – He is a bit of a project, I doubt some of his mental abilities but that arm to Watkins and Gordon… you can’t pass that off

27. New Orleans Saints-  Kony Ealy DE Mizzou – Nola needs a edge rusher and Kony Ealy is great at that

28. Carolina Panthers – Morgan Moses OT Virginia – Jordan Gross retired.. it’s time to bring in a weapon

29. New England Patriots –  Jace Amaro TE Texas Tech – If you think the Pats picking up Lafell was the answer you could not be more wrong. Amaro will be the pick here but then again who knows what Belichick has planned.

30. San Francisco 49ers – Ra’Shade Hageman DT/DE Minnesota – This is another no brainer at this juncture, Hageman is versatile and has gobs potential, he is going to right place to be preened

31. Denver Broncos –  Ryan Shazier OLB OSU – Versatile and very good.

32. Seattle Seahawks – Cyrus Kouandjio OT Alabama –  They need OL help anywhere really, Cyrus gives them flexibility. e

Height 6-2

Weight 260

DE/OLB

Michael-Sam

40 Yard Dash 4.91

Vert 25.5 Inches

Tape Watched   South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Georgia

Pros

What Sam brings to the table is an amazing first step; his burst off the line is could be one of the best I have seen on tape.  His burst is excellent for beating offensive tackles to the edge. Michael Sam has a driving motor that allows him to chase after the passer in almost all scenarios. Couple that with very high production at the collegiate level and you have a player that is very intriguing for GM’s by all accounts. Sam also has decent arm length which as a DE, is one of the more pivotal physical traits you could have.  When you watch Sam on tape, he sparkles in his pursuit of the QB and shows borderline elite closing speed.

 

Cons

However there are a lot of Red flags for Michael Sam. First off his very poor combine showing; what we see on tape looks totally different than what we saw at the combine. 4.91 yard 40 and a 10 yard of split of  1.72 is not impressive. Ideally you would want a 1.65 10 yard split from most DE’s/OLBs. Sam also displayed a paltry vertical jump of 25.5 inches, which is lacking to say the least. Those numbers make Sam seem like a marginal athlete. However, when I watched tape of him, I came a way with a bad taste in my mouth.  Sam could use his hands a bit more when engaging blockers, he very much relies on his first step to get by and does not use his hand to fight off OL men blocks nor use them to create space with pass rush moves. Michael Sam did not show me a lot of pass rush moves not a lot of rips or swims or spins and seems stiff even when getting to the QB.  In the Vanderbilt tape, I saw him literally turn his back to the OL /QB and kinda of flounder with his back turned. That will not be acceptable in the NFL, it won’t cut it.   Due the lack of pass rush moves and hand usage  he gets jammed at the point of attack a lot, not allowing him to penetrate downfield and thus he can be washed down out of running plays relatively easily.   I also have to wonder if Michael Sam’s elite production was due to him or also due to having potential 1st round pick Kony Ealy and budding star Shane Ray ( you will all know his name soon)  on the DL with him.

 

Overview

 Sam seems to be the ultra-productive college player who may have trouble translating to the speed of the NFL. Due to his lack of size and strength to move OL off the LOS, I have trouble believing that he would be effective as a 43 DE but due to his marginal athletic ability, I know he will not be effective as a 34 LB. Before I watched tape of Sam, I had a general idea of his skills I had seen a few games here or there and had valued him as a mid 2nd round pick. However, after his combine performance and watching the tape more closely, I have trouble grading him any higher than a 5th round prospect. I like Sam’s burst off the line, motor and his production in college but I see too many red flags, ESPECIALLY his combine performance to value him highly.  A very good pro day outing could help alleviate some of those fears

 Projected Round – 5th – 6th

NFL Comp –   Larry English

 

Image

College: North Carolina

Position: Defensive End                                                                               

Height: 6-5

Weight: 272 lbs

Projected Round:  mid 2nd round to mid-3rd round

Kareem Martain is not a guy a lot of people have a lot of attention on when people look at the top defensive lineman in this draft but he is a potential sleeper that could see a potential rise after a great showing at the NFL combine.  

Postives

In terms of his combine numbers, Martin probably had one of the best if not the best combines. He was top 5 in the drills involving explosion and lower body explosion. His 40 time was second best to Clowney’s for defensive lineman over 265 lbs, he had a pretty solid vertical jump, but what really stood out was his broad jump which was the best out of the defensive lineman and his 10 yard split during his 4.72 forty was the best (yes even better than Clowney’s) out of all the defensive lineman. The explosion that he shows judging based on his combine numbers is something you get out of a top 15 pick.

He’s a solid tackler and understands contain assignments when facing mobile QB’s and understands assignments outside of just rushing the passer despite being a good fit in a 4-3, 5 tech scheme. He also has a solid run defense game and doesn’t allow blockers to get leverage over him on running plays. The senior was a defensive captain for North Carolina and was well respected by many of his teammates and coaches. In terms of size Martin is the perfect size for a 4-3 size at 6-5, 272 lbs and his long 35 inch arms. On paper Martin is the defensive end that scouts look for.

Negatives

Kareem Martain on tape never showed this explosion that he demonstrated at the combine during his time at North Carolina. He was often hesitant to engage blockers with his hands and wasn’t really competitive at the point of attack as a rusher. His production was solid for his senior year but he but he got most of it from poor competition and garbage time. He also struggled at the senior bowl in one on one drills and in 11-11 drills according to numerous scouts. 

 

In closing, Kareem Martin is a great athlete who just hasn’t been able to translate his god given athletic abilities unto the football field. If he can go to a team with the right team that with a solid coaching staff that will show him how to use his athleticism and hands to step up his game, Martin can be a solid pick up on the second day.   

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Derek Carr

Height – 6 ‘3

Weight – 218

Tape Watched: USC (2013), Nevada (2013), Utah State (2013) and Oregon (2012)

My QB Big Board Rank – 5

Positives – Derek Carr has the physical tools to succeed in the NFL. Carr has arguably the best zip o his ball in the entire 2014 draft class, this zip helps him fit balls into tight windows on all levels of the field.  Carr possesses the ability to make all the NFL throws whether it is short, intermediate or deep.  Carr impresses with his anticipation of his WR breaking off their routes and often has the ball out before the WR has begun to look for the ball, this is a testament to his knowledge of the game of football and his general feel for . Carr has more than functional mobility, he moves outside of the pocket very well and keeps his eyes down field and can throw on the run rolling out to the right with relative ease.

Negatives – Fresno State does not exactly play the best competition in the MWC and Carr beat up on the inferior competition. However, when he faced USC in the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl, Carr look flustered in all facets of his game as the speed of USC confused him.  Carr needs to work on his progression, very often Carr makes one read before releasing the ball, some of that is due to their playing style but even outside of the quick passes, Carr will stare down a WR as he waits for the route to develop. Coming with Fresno State Carr played out of the shotgun and does not have experience in a traditional pro style offense.  Along with working on his progression, Carr needs to work on his footwork, too often Carr is releasing the ball from his back foot or without opening up his hips or stepping into his throws. This prevents him to getting as much torque as possible on his throws.  Derek Carr also seems to struggle heavily against the blitz, all of his footwork issues become compounded during the blitz often leaving him vulnerable in the pocket and often rushing his throws.  Carr tends to miss on his deep ball (30 yards down field or more) often leaving balls over WR fingertips or 5 yards in front of them.

Summary – Derek Carr has a lot of the tools needed to be an NFL QB, a lot of his negatives can be fixed by simply working on his mechanics. Improved footwork will lead to Carr hitting the deep ball. Working on Carr with looking off defenders and not locking in on WR’s will improve Carr as well.  Carr has all the physical tools and also has very good intangibles has he is a very strong leader and smart player.  Carr would be better set to be drafted to a team with an established QB and allowed to develop for a few seasons.  When I look at Carr’s whole package I see him as early 3rd round talent and if I was a GM I would not touch him until then.  Carr did have a strong showing at the Senior Bowl raising his stock with scouts and due to the inflation of QB’s Carr will likely end up going in the 1st round and possibly top 10.

Draft Projection –  Top 15 pick ( QB Inflation)

NFL Comparison –  Jay Cutler

Spring practices are over. The grass is cut. Summer sessions are in full swing. College Football is right around the corner. Johnny Football, Marcus Mariota, Teddy Bridgewater, Jadeveon Clowney, Braxton Miller and Sammy Watkins. These players are the stars of college football; they are names that the casual fan knows. 

Below is a list of 5 players that will have huge impacts on their teams. 5 players who with a single big game could alter the college football season. I give you the 5 unheralded super stars.

Blake Bortles QB UCF – If every QB that is eligible comes out in the 2014 draft, it will be a stacked class. Bortles is one hell of a QB; and the junior is mobile as well as very efficient completing 63% of his passes for 25 TD’s and only 7 int’s.  Bortles also adds a vaunted running dimension, while Bortles can scamper away from defenders he is much more likely to run through the defender into the endzone as in 2012 he added 9 TD’s on the ground. Bortles is playing  in a wide open American Athletic Conference and UCF comes in as one of the favs in the conference. Bortles has all the tools scouts look for and could work his way into the First round this coming year or in the 2015 draft

Dri Archer RB Kent State – Speed, agility, acceleration and did I mention speed? Archer is lightning in a bottle. Dri Archer just might be the fastest player in the NCAA. Coming in 5 ft. 8 and 175, he is diminutive but his timed 4.26 40 speed is lethal. He could play WR or RB in the NFL but regardless of position the goal is going to be to get the ball into #1’s  hands, Dri Archer makes Kent State a threat every time they are on offense and he will power the Golden Flashes to a successful 2013 season.

Lache Seastrunk RB Baylor– the Baylor RB might be the most complete RB in the class. Seastrunk started out at Oregon but after recruiting violations and other issues, he transferred to Baylor.  Seastrunk impressed in his first season at Baylor rushing for 1000 yards and 7 Td’s, after not starting the first 7 games of the season.  Lache has great speed, vision and has the power to go up the middle.  Baylor has a shot to impress in what could be a wide open Big 12, Lache Seastrunk is pivotal to their success and could be a sleeper for the Heisman.

Allen Robinson WR Penn State -   Coach Bill O’Brien opened up the offense and let the Nittany Lions air it out a bit more. A huge benefactor of this was WR Allen Robinson.  Robinson was QB Matt McGloins favorite target and even though there is some fogginess on who will be the new QB in Happy Valley whoever it is will look to target Allen Robinson.  Robinson comes in at 6-3 211, possessing 4.5 speed and great route running.  Robinson’s presence on the outside opens up underneath for Penn State’s stud TE’s.   Sammy Watkins, Marquis Lee and Amari Cooper are all bigger names but Allen Robinson could very well end up having a comparable season to them. 

LeMarcus Joyner CB/S Florida State -  LeMarcus Joyner is a heat seeking missile, slicing through blockers to make a gigantic hit on a RB or slamming a WR coming through the middle.  In 2012 Florida State had 7 or legitimate NFL draft prospects and none may have been more feared than Joyner. Joyner is more than just a hard hitter, he is playmaker getting interceptions, forcing fumbles and even returning a kick or two. Joyner is a bit undersized but that should not hinder him too much. Joyner may be a more NFL ready version of LSU’s Heisman finalist Tyrann Mathieu.  I think Joyner might be the best S out of the state of Florida since Sean Taylor.

These players may not be known to the casual fan but trust me after the 2013-2014 season they will be, and they will all be playing on Sundays.

Hey what’s up y’all this Blacker from Black and Blacker and this is my final mock of the year. I tried to incorporate some of the rumors that I have heard from around the league into the draft. This is more of a representation of how I feel the draft will go. I tried to incorporate some trades but there were 19 trades in the first round last year and I know I wont be an accurate representation of them all.  I apologize for not having the college of each player next to them but there was a flaw in converting the excel file to PDF to typed characters. I did four rounds because after 5 I know most people really don’t pay too much attention

Hope you guys enjoy

ROUND ONE

With the first pick in the 2013 NFL Draft the Kansas City Chiefs select….

1 Kansas City Chiefs Luke Joeckel OT

2  Jacksonville Jaguars Eric Fisher OT
3  Oakland Raiders Shariff Floyd DT
4  Philadelphia Eagles Lane Johnson OT
5  Detroit Lions Ezekiel Ansah DE
6  San Diego Chargers Chance Warmack OG (VIA TRADE WITH BROWNS)
7  Arizona Cardinals Dion Jordan DE
8  Buffalo Bills Ryan Nassib QB
9  New York Jets Barkevious Mingo OLB
10  Tennessee Titans Jonathan Cooper OG
11  Cleveland Browns DeMarcus Millner CB ( Through San Diego)
12  Miami Dolphins Desmond Trufant CB
13  New York Jets Geno Smith QB
14  Carolina Panthers Kenny Vaccaro S
15  New Orleans Saints Star Lotulelei DT
16  St. Louis Rams Alec Ogletree ILB
17  Pittsburgh Steelers Jarvis Jones OLB
18  Dallas Cowboys Sylvester Richardson DT
19  New York Giants Tyler Eifert TE
20 Chicago Bears Kevin Minter ILB
21  Atlanta Falcons Bjoern Werner DE ( via trade with Cinci)
22  St. Louis Rams DeAndre Hopkins WR
23  Minnesota Vikings Sheldon Richardson DT
24  Indianapolis Colts Jonathan Jenkins DT
25  Minnesota Vikings Manti Te’o ILB
26  Green Bay Packers Tavon Austin WR
27  Houston Texans Cordarrelle Patterson WR
28  Denver Broncos Cornellius Carradine DE
29  New England Patriots D.J. Hayden CB
30  Cincinnati Bengals Jonathan Cyprien S (through ATL)
31  San Francisco 49ers Eric Reid S
32  Baltimore Ravens Keenan Allen WR

ROUND TWO
33  Jacksonville Jaguars Matt Barkley QB
34  San Francisco 49ers Xavier Rhodes CB
35  Philadelphia Eagles E.J. Manuel QB
36  Detroit Lions Johnthan Banks CB
37  Cincinnati Bengals Eddie Lacy RB
38  Arizona Cardinals Justin Pugh OT
39  New York Jets D.J. Fluker OT
40  Tennessee Titans Justin Hunter WR
41  Buffalo Bills Menelik Watson OT
42 Miami Dolphins Kyle Long OT
43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Datone Jones DE

44 2 Carolina Panthers Kawann Short DT
45  Cleveland Browns Markus Wheaton WR
46  St. Louis Rams Matt Elam S
47  Dallas Cowboys Shamarko Thomas S
48  Pittsburgh Steelers Terrance Williams WR
49  New York Giants Damontre Moore DE
50  Chicago Bears Zach Ertz TE
51  Washington Redksins Robert Woods WR
52 Minnesota Vikings Jordan Poyer CB
53  Cincinnati Bengals Arthur Brown ILB
54  Miami Dolphins Alex Okafor DE
55  Green Bay Packers Jamie Collins OLB
56  Seattle Seahawks Larry Warford OG
57  Houston Texans Terron Armstead OT
58  Denver Broncos Johnathan Hankins DT
59  New England Patriots Sam Montgomery DE
60  Cincinnati Bengals Jamar Taylor CB  ( From ATL)
61  San Francisco 49ers Barrett Jones OG
62  Baltimore Ravens Phillip Thomas S

ROUND THREE

63  Kansas City Chiefs Kiko Alonso ILB
64  Jacksonville Jaguars David Amerson CB
65  Detroit Lions Dallas Thomas OT
66  Oakland Raiders Corey Lemonier DE
67  Philadelphia Eagles Darius Slay CB
68  Cleveland Browns Travis Frederick C
69  Arizona Cardinals Bacarri Rambo S
70  Tennessee Titans Blidi Wreh-Wilson CB
71  Buffalo Bills Khaseem Greene OLB
72  New York Jets Giovani Bernard RB
73  Tampa Bay Buccaneers Robert Alford CB
74  San Francisco 49ers Sio Moore OLB
75  New Orleans Saints David Quessenberry OT
76  San Diego Chargers Tyler Wilson QB
77  Miami Dolphins Johnathan Franklin RB
78  St. Louis Rams Jesse Williams DT
79  Pittsburgh Steelers Margus Hunt DE
80  Dallas Cowboys Brandon Jenkins DE
81  New York Giants Oday Aboushi OT
82  Miami Dolphins Aaron Dobson WR
83  Minnesota Vikings Mike Glennon QB
84  Cincinnati Bengals Brennan Williams OT
85  Washington Redksins D.J. Swearinger S
86  Indianapolis Colts Tyrann Mathieu CB
87  Seattle Seahawks Xavier Nixon OT
88  Green Bay Packers Joseph Randle RB
89  Houston Texans Chase Thomas OLB
90  Denver Broncos Duke Williams S

91  New England Patriots Quinton Patton WR
92  Atlanta Falcons Brandon Williams DT
93  San Francisco 49ers Montori Hughes DT
94  Baltimore Ravens Jon Bostic ILB
95  Houston Texans Alvin Bailey OG
96  Kansas City Chiefs Da’Rick Rogers WR
97  Tennessee Titans Michael Buchanan DE

ROUND FOUR 
98  Jacksonville Jaguars Brian Winters OT
99  Kansas City Chiefs Le’Veon Bell RB

100  Oakland Raiders T.J. McDonald S

101  Philadelphia Eagles Kwame Geathers DT
102  Minnesota Vikings Marquise Goodwin WR
103  Indianapolis Colts B.W. Webb CB
104  Cleveland Browns Kevin Reddick ILB
105  Buffalo Bills Stedman Bailey WR
106  New York Jets William Gholston DE
107  Tennessee Titans Bennie Logan DT
108  Carolina Panthers David Bakhtiari OT
109  New Orleans Saints Tyler Bray QB
110  San Diego Chargers Ryan Swope WR
111  Miami Dolphins Jelani Jenkins OLB
112  Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jordan Reed TE
113  St. Louis Rams Andre Ellington RB
114  Dallas Cowboys Brian Schwenke C
115  Pittsburgh Steelers Shawn Williams S
116  New York Giants Zaviar Gooden OLB
117  Chicago Bears Zac Dysert QB
118  Cincinnati Bengals Kenny Stills WR
119  Washington Redksins Logan Ryan CB
120 Minnesota Vikings Tony Jefferson S
121  Indianapolis Colts Montee Ball RB
122  Green Bay Packers Khaled Holmes C
123  Seattle Seahawks Travis Kelce TE
124  Houston Texans Everett Dawkins DT
125  Denver Broncos Marcus Lattimore RB
126 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Denard Robinson WR
127  Atlanta Falcons Nico Johnson ILB
128  San Francisco 49ers Ryan Otten TE
129  Baltimore Ravens Leon McFadden CB
130  Baltimore Ravens Chris Faulk OT
131  San Francisco 49ers Jordan Mills OT
132  Detroit Lions Cobi Hamilton WR
133  Atlanta Falcons Tharold Simon CB

Players who will be undervalued come draft day

Black

Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri- Sheldon Richardson hasn’t gotten as much pre-draft hype as the other defensive lineman in his class. He is generally looked at as a top 25 pick but I could see Richardson going into the top 10 this year. Many people, including myself, thought that Richardson is better than Star Lotulelei and is on par with the best defensive tackle in this draft class in Sharrif Floyd.
Jonathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia- Sticking with defensive tackles, Johnathan Jenkins was one of many players who saw his draft stock decline greatly after playing Alabama in the SEC championship game. Before the game he was considered as the top or second best defensive lineman in the draft. Because of his versiltlity to lineup as a 1-3 in a 3-4 or 4-3 scheme he should remain in the first round possibly in the top 25.
Cornelius Washington, ILB/DE, Georgia- Cornelius Washington is one of my favorite sleepers coming out of this year’s draft. His size and athleticism is something that has some scouts talking and after watching some games of his, he really stood at more than one would thought, especially on a defense that already consisted of other great defensive players like the two Jenkins and Ogletreee. He is projected to be a mid-round pick this year but I feel like whichever team can get him in the 3rd round will be getting a steal.

Blacker

DaMontre Moore DE/OLB Texas A&M – He had a poor combine showing and he also had a poor showing at his pro day ,the 4.95 40 is not impressive. However, I believe this is a case of scouts looking to far into his numbers and forgetting about the havoc Moore caused in the SEC last year.  When you watch the tape Moore makes plays, he has a high motor, is versatile as a 43 DE and a 34 OLB, as well as anchors well in the run game.  Moore should be a first round draft pick but his poor showing could cost him the first round pick.  Regardless, whatever team grabs him in the 2nd round will be gaining a steal and a talented threat coming off the edge.

Players who will be overvalued come draft day

Black
Barkevious Mingo and Sam Montgomery, DE/OLB, LSU- I have never been a big fan of Mingo and Montgomery. He is small and was constantly bullied by some of the SEC’s offensive lineman. Luke Joeckel bullied both of these guys in the LSU/Texas A&M match up this past season, and at times their presence was just not felt at all.
T.J. McDonald, S, USC- I know McDonald is being projected as a 3rd to 4th round pick but in my opinion he should not even be looked at until the later rounds on the third day or shouldn’t even be selected in the at all. McDonald is the next Taylor Mays, a USC player who gets overvalued and falls flat once he reaches the Pros. He was the mastermind behind most of the USC defensive woes and his game against Oregon was probably the worst safety performance I’ve ever seen from a college safety.

Blacker

The trend in the recent years for the NFL is to reach for a QB that think can turn around the team’s fortunes. I don’t think that we see any deviation from the trend here. I expect Geno Smith, EJ Manuel and/or Ryan Nassib, to be highly overvalued come draft day. Especially if a team like Jacksonville decides to take Geno at 2. That would set off a domino effect and teams like Buffalo, Arizona, New York and Philadelphia could become desperate and reach for Manuel or Nassib.  I am a firm believer that none of the aforementioned QB’s warrant a first round selection but the need for an elite signal caller could lead to those 3 QBs to be overvalued.

 

Player who sneaks into the 1st round

Black
EJ Manuel, QB, Florida State- Manuel is my favorite quarterback prospect coming out of this year’s draft, his had a good week at the senior bowl in the eyes of many scouts despite many reports by “Draft Experts” (I’m looking at you Mayock), and he has gained some draft stock momentum in recent weeks. I could see him going in the bottom of the first to a team that trades back up into the first round to nab one a QB.

Blacker

Dj Hayden CB Houston – The kid has an amazing story, almost died in practice due to a tear in his heart. Comes back from the near death experience and runs a 4.3 40.  Hayden also faced off against talented WR Quinton Patton and shut him down. Hayden posses prototypical CB size at 5’11 191. Personally I don’t see anything that makes Hayden any more special than other CB’s like Trufant, Millner or Rhodes but scouts and NFL GM’s like him and love the story and that should be enough to push him to the late first.

 

Player who slip in the draft

Black
Keenan Allen, WR, California- As much as I love Keenan Allen as a prospect, his stock has dramatically decreased since early January. His knee injury kept him out of the scouting combine in February and when he was finally able to run at his Pro Day, he only ran a 4.7. Scouts had already questioned his speed as there times where faster defensive backs easily caught Allen from behind.

Blacker

Bjorn Werner DE Florida  State, – Jarvis Jones will fall due to health concerns but also they should be picked right about where they belong.  Werner is a top 15 talent and the best pure 43 DE in the draft but with Tampa trading the pick for Revis and the possibility of the Titans taking OL help. Every other pick after that has other needs than a 43 DE. IF teams decide to draft by need and not BPA, Werner could take a spill to the 20’s.